Bitcoin is on the edge of a major price move as over $7.25 billion worth of BTC options are scheduled to expire on April 25, setting the stage for heightened volatility. With markets currently lacking direction, this massive options expiry could act as the trigger for Bitcoin’s next major swing.
According to Marcin Kazmierczak, co-founder and COO of oracle provider RedStone, this expiry comes at a particularly uncertain time for the broader crypto market, which has held steady despite global macroeconomic turbulence.
“Tomorrow’s expiry looks particularly spicy, coming at a time when the market seems undecided about its next major move,” Kazmierczak told crypto.news.
Options Data Signals Bullish Bias
The upcoming expiry includes 32.74k put contracts and 44.93k call contracts, with a combined market value of $152 million. Notably, calls outnumber puts by nearly five to one, indicating that traders may be leaning bullish heading into the event.
- Puts value: $24.20 million
- Calls value: $127.82 million
- Total notional value if exercised: $7.25 billion
This disparity suggests that traders are positioning for upward movement in BTC’s price — or at least preparing for some substantial volatility.
Smart Money Prepares for a Major Swing
Kazmierczak notes that large expiry events like this often lead to noticeable price action in crypto markets. With billions in contracts on the line, he believes institutional and experienced traders — often referred to as “smart money” — are already gearing up for dramatic swings.
“Smart money is likely positioning for some dramatic swings, making this a perfect moment for both opportunity seekers and cautious investors to pay close attention,” he added.
He also emphasizes that while short-term volatility is expected, the long-term fundamentals for Bitcoin remain robust, backed by growing adoption, tokenization use cases, and stablecoin volumes.
BTC Shows Resilience Compared to Traditional Markets
Despite geopolitical and trade tensions rattling equities, particularly amid renewed tariff threats from the Trump administration, Bitcoin has maintained surprising stability.
“Crypto markets have demonstrated surprising resilience compared to traditional markets, which have been rocked by tariff concerns – a sign that digital assets may be establishing their own market dynamics,” Kazmierczak explained.
With the April 25 options expiry looming, all eyes are now on BTC’s reaction. Whether it breaks out or pulls back, traders should be ready — this could be the inflection point the market has been waiting for.
